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RIM: Re-imagining “Phone” again

by alec on May 30, 2011

The knives are out for RIM’s top management, but the financial press is missing the boat as they focus on short-term results.

In 2002, the company remade the fledgling smartphone industry by releasing the first devices – Blackberry 5800 series – with integrated enterprise class email.  The arms race was on, as Microsoft and Palm both quickly entered the market.   The tidal wave they spawned engulfed the market, wiping out stalwarts like Motorola – for whom a phone was a voice device – in their path. RIM changed the meaning of “phone” and reaped the profits inherent in that change.

Five years later, along came Apple and changed the meaning of “phone” again.  To Apple, “phone” meant the internet in the palm of your hand, plus a limitless supply of software customizations in the form of easy and cheap applications.   Now RIM has become prey, instead of being the top predator in the food chain.

To flourish again, RIM must tune out the noise from the street, and re-imagine the mobile all over again.  That’s where the press should be focusing their attention — looking for sign posts that indicate that this re-imagination is under way.

The Wall Street Journal published a piece in last Saturday’s paper titled RIM Hopes Cars Drive Playbook Sales.  If this is a harbinger for future RIM efforts, then it’s one of those signs, whether you believe in the “auto to mobile” device connection that the story plays up, or not.  This story says that RIM is again looking at the role of the phone, what the word “phone” means, and how they can change that meaning. How should a phone interact with other advanced electronics in the car, especially electronics running the same OS as that phone?  Should it stream media to in-vehicle displays?  Manage the electronics in the vehicle?  Provide an easy portal to diagnostic information?  Wirelessly find you a parking spot, and pay the bill?  Wirelessly pay tolls without having to stop at toll booths?  Transmit passport information at border crossings?

These are all good questions for RIM imagineers to ask.

I don’t know the answers to these questions.  What I do know is that RIM, and their subsidiary and partner QNX, seem to be thinking about creating an experience beyond what we know as “phone” today.   Just as RIM imagined a world where pagers, email, and telephone all worked together, and in the process reinvented the phone, they now imagine a world where that “phone” is the mobile device that is at the hub of our future digital existence.

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Nokia buy Palm? Not so fast…

by alec on November 17, 2009

Last week rumours circulated (again) that Nokia might acquire Palm.  Palm shares rallied, but seem to have settled back down this week. The “deal”, after all, is a Wall Street wet dream, and not much more. 

It’s true that Nokia’s stock price is suffering and that Nokia’s share is slipping in the smart phone market. The mobile market is in transition, and Nokia was ill prepared. Nokia is fundamentally a hardware company trying to become a software company in a market which has lurched sharply toward software as the core differentiator.  Wedded to Symbian while top competitors Apple and Google have bet on *NIX on the handset, Nokia knows it has to make some changes.  The advantages of a modern OS architecture on the handset simply can’t be overstated.

And, in fact, Nokia is making changes.  The N900 is a mobile Linux device, running Nokia’s home grown Maemo OS.  The N900 has debuted to mixed reviews but Nokia isn’t asleep at the wheel.

And that’s why the billions required to buy Palm aren’t going to get spent.

Who might make a good dance partner for Palm? How about:

  • Yahoo – Apple and Google have both demonstrated the value of an integrated user experience connecting web based media and storefront properties to the handset.  By all accounts, Palm’s WebOS is the best platform for creating mobile web experiences today.  What better marriage than Yahoo’s deep web experience and Palm’s sexy new mobile platform?
  • RIM – BlackBerry OS is long in the tooth, and everyone knows it. The current king of the smartphone hill has a lot to lose, and the current crop of new competitors have better platforms to build their future businesses upon.  Meld RIM’s deep understanding of the enterprise to Palm’s mobile web platform, and market it through RIM’s well entrenched carrier relationships and you’d have a winner.
  • In fact, RIM acquiring Palm might be so threatening to Microsoft that they’d conceivably enter the race just to make sure that RIM didn’t win the big prize.  The shift to web technologies on the handset and within the enterprise would threaten Microsoft’s core franchise.  However, given how poorly Microsoft has executed on mobile, a successful bid from Redmond would likely be the kiss of death for Palm. 

My bet’s on RIM, even though a Yahoo / Palm marriage has the potential to create one of the most exciting and dynamic companies in the mobile world today.  Palm needs a dance partner, but it’s not clear that Yahoo’s leadership has the stones to get the job done. The good news for Palm’s Rubenstein is that there are plenty of potential suitors in the market, if indeed the company is for sale.

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Squawk Box Feb 27 – Small Computers vs. Big Phones: The Coming War

March 1, 2009

The title of Friday’s call was Small Computers vs. Big Phones, and the impetus was an issue of Mark Anderson’s Strategic News Service by the same name.  We talked about the coming “war” between smartphones and netbooks, computing in the cloud, and where the intersection between these devices might occur. Many people expressed the opinion [...]

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