May 2011

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RIM: Re-imagining “Phone” again

by alec on May 30, 2011

The knives are out for RIM’s top management, but the financial press is missing the boat as they focus on short-term results.

In 2002, the company remade the fledgling smartphone industry by releasing the first devices – Blackberry 5800 series – with integrated enterprise class email.  The arms race was on, as Microsoft and Palm both quickly entered the market.   The tidal wave they spawned engulfed the market, wiping out stalwarts like Motorola – for whom a phone was a voice device – in their path. RIM changed the meaning of “phone” and reaped the profits inherent in that change.

Five years later, along came Apple and changed the meaning of “phone” again.  To Apple, “phone” meant the internet in the palm of your hand, plus a limitless supply of software customizations in the form of easy and cheap applications.   Now RIM has become prey, instead of being the top predator in the food chain.

To flourish again, RIM must tune out the noise from the street, and re-imagine the mobile all over again.  That’s where the press should be focusing their attention — looking for sign posts that indicate that this re-imagination is under way.

The Wall Street Journal published a piece in last Saturday’s paper titled RIM Hopes Cars Drive Playbook Sales.  If this is a harbinger for future RIM efforts, then it’s one of those signs, whether you believe in the “auto to mobile” device connection that the story plays up, or not.  This story says that RIM is again looking at the role of the phone, what the word “phone” means, and how they can change that meaning. How should a phone interact with other advanced electronics in the car, especially electronics running the same OS as that phone?  Should it stream media to in-vehicle displays?  Manage the electronics in the vehicle?  Provide an easy portal to diagnostic information?  Wirelessly find you a parking spot, and pay the bill?  Wirelessly pay tolls without having to stop at toll booths?  Transmit passport information at border crossings?

These are all good questions for RIM imagineers to ask.

I don’t know the answers to these questions.  What I do know is that RIM, and their subsidiary and partner QNX, seem to be thinking about creating an experience beyond what we know as “phone” today.   Just as RIM imagined a world where pagers, email, and telephone all worked together, and in the process reinvented the phone, they now imagine a world where that “phone” is the mobile device that is at the hub of our future digital existence.

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A lot of die-hard Skype fans worry that Microsoft’s acquisition of the company is going to change it, and not for the better.  Yesterday’s news that Skype For Asterisk will be discontinued didn’t help, generating speculation that this action is a result of their impending acquisition.

Before we rush to declare the “Micro-Skype ApocalypseTM”, let’s consider a few facts.

Skype has two very similar competing offerings in market that will allow an Asterisk PBX to connect to the Skype Network – Skype for Asterisk and Skype Connect.  One (Skype for Asterisk) sells for a very low one-time license fee, and the other (Skype Connect) sells on a subscription basis with additional charges for minutes of usage.  Skype Connect must be dramatically more profitable than Skype for Asterisk.

Skype for Asterisk has issues that limit its use in business.  For example, it can’t forward a call from the PBX without stripping caller ID.  How do you build a modern call center without caller ID?  Those in the know say that this is a limitation of the Asterisk channel driver, and not a Skype limitation. After all, Skype Connect doesn’t have that limitation. It appears that Digium may not have given the priority to Skype for Asterisk that it needed to be successful.

The business fundamentals don’t favour Skype for Asterisk.

Moreover, the agreement with Microsoft doesn’t come into effect until it has cleared regulatory approval.  Skype would be foolish to make decisions about apparently important partnerships solely at the behest of their new owners before gaining regulatory clearance.

Granted, Microsoft competes with Digium.  But business fundamentals, as opposed to Microsoft influence, are a far more likely reason for Skype’s decision not to renew the Skype for Asterisk agreement with Digium.

Sometimes it just makes sense to sunset a product that isn’t working out.

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The UN gets a country (code)

May 24, 2011
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When Voxbone CEO Rodrigue Ullens saw that the ITU had assigned the UN a country code, he thought “They could use our help.”  Inbound international calling, after all, is Voxbone’s core business.   Tomorrow, Voxbone will announce an agreement with the United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs to implement country code +888 on [...]

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Three reasons bringing the Qualcomm AR toolkit to non-Qualcomm platforms makes sense.

May 20, 2011
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I like Qualcomm’s latest move, bringing their augmented reality developers toolkit to iPhone, even though the iPhone doesn’t use any Qualcomm chips.  It’s smart business, for three reasons: Qualcomm understands that software tools and platforms that work with a single hardware platform have a limited market.  On Windows, would you write for the Direct X API [...]

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Telecom futurists to converge on the Bay Area in late June. Plan for it!

May 20, 2011

Interested in the communications business, especially the future of the communications business?  Two must-attend events that are coming soon are eComm America 2011, and the Future of Voice MasterClass.  These are both happening in the San Francisco Bay area at about the same time.  eComm runs June 27 to 29 at the San Francisco Airport [...]

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Can Mobile Operators Survive the Coming Telepocalypse?

May 19, 2011
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Two seemingly contradictory pieces have crossed my desk in recent days.  Derek Thomson, writing in the Atlantic, reports that analyst firm IBISWorld is predicting that the fastest growth industry in the United States, for the next five years, will be digital voice – Vonage, the cable companies, and Skype. Now, these are two very distinct [...]

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The Twitter Trap and the “AOL-ization” of the New York Times

May 19, 2011

For a couple of years now part of my morning routine has been coffee, news, and sharing interesting articles I find on my twitter feed.  It’s good for the content creators, and a good way to start a conversation with people who share interests similar to mine. In the beginning I built a complicated system [...]

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The Post-PC Era is an old idea

May 18, 2011
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They say that fashion goes in cycles.  Don’t get rid of your old clothes — just hang them in your closet and ten or twenty years later you’ll be able to put them on again (assuming they still fit!), and be fashionable once more. Steve Job’s pronouncements on the Post PC era have generated one [...]

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The invaders are at the gates of mobile

May 18, 2011
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Kevin Fox muses that Microsoft, Apple and Google may be “quietly preparing for war with mobile carriers”. He cites the ten-year innovation desert in voice, coupled with the explosion of data on the handset, weaves in Microsoft’s acquisition of Skype, and spins a tale of how the data companies take over the telecom industry. Implausible? [...]

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Tilting at Open Source Windmills

May 18, 2011

Now that Microsoft has bought Skype, calls for the creation of an open source Skype Killer are starting to be heard.  They’re delusional.  There’s only one Skype, and only likely to be one Skype simply because the protocol is closed and the momentum behind Skype is enormous.  That’s why Microsoft bought them, instead of trying [...]

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