Morgan Stanley mobile trends

by alec on April 28, 2008

Morgan Stanley’s Internet Trends report for March of 2008 is out. You may have seen the reports from TechCrunch, where Michael Arrington has focused nearly entirely on the social networking trends.

I also found the mobile trends, starting on slide 42, to be dramatic.

Morgan Stanley is forecasting that the inflection point for 3G service will come in 2009, as greater than 20% of the global mobile user base will be 3G subscribers.

The iPhone’s adoption rate is crushing all previous records. The presentation (perhaps unfairly) compares iPhones adoption to RIM a decade ago, but the point is striking nonetheless. Apple’s timing is uncanny, hitting the market at the instant that smartphone adoption is finally taking off.

It’s a dense presentation, but worth a view. Too bad that SlideShare is such a sucky way to read all the microscopic type on the slides.

Alec Saunders is the Vice President of Developer Relations for BlackBerry make Research in Motion. This is his personal blog, with his personal viewpoints. Prior to this Alec was the CEO and co-founder of Calliflower — the easiest way to hold a meeting, online, on a conference call, or on the go. A double-decade veteran of product management and marketing, he spent nine years at Microsoft where he helped launch Windows 95, the first two versions of Internet Explorer, the Universal Plug and Play initiative, the push into home markets, opt-in email marketing and what might well go down in history as the very first direct email list ever.

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