October 2007

Wainhouse CSP 2007

by alec on October 31, 2007

I spent half the day Monday at the Wainhouse Research Conference Service Providers Summit.  This annual event brings conferencing service providers and vendors together in a day long event that charts the state of the art and the future of the conferencing industry. Wainhouse founder Marc Beattie's speech kicked off the day, and it didn't disappoint.

Beattie's thesis is that the collision of interests around the conferencing market will create challenges for conference service providers and vendors.  As enterprise software providers, enteprise telephony companies, communications integrators and consumer crossover plays from the likes of Skype, AOL, and Google enter the mix.  Confernecing is a healthy market  — from from $2 billion just a few years ago, to $4 billion today, and project to reach $6 billion in the next 4 to 5 years.  But not all of the revenue will go today's incumbents.

Interesting stats:

  • Although more and more premises based bridges are coming to market, 73%  of enterprises say will continue working with CSPs.  The limited ROI of owning your own bridge, and the inability to scale it cost effectively as the business grows are the two reasons cited.
  • There was 38% minute growth in the last 12 months in North America, and 46% revenue growth from Q2 '05 to Q2 '07.  Per minute pricing is down, but revenues are up. 
  • Attended audio events (earnings calls, for instance) are on the rise again.  $At $110 to $120 million per quarter, it's a healthy revenue bite. 
  • 75% of the market is the US, UK and Canada.  
  • By 2011, Wainhouse is predicting that revenues will be Audio – $4.2, Web $1.5.

Perhaps the most interesting thing about Marc's talk was his focus on social networking as a force in the industry.  Marc stated that social networking would be the the single largest thing – the information embodied in social networks is the key to how people get together. 

Consumer networks, like MySpace, Facebook and LinkedIn pull in excess of 100 million visitors per month.  Mostly treated as a curiosity by business people, they lack utility for work, and Marc sees them as little more than glorified contact managers. He specifically called out the lack of a "trusted network" of friends, and the inability of these systems to segment groups one from another.

If Marc was a little down on consumer social networks, he was high on enterprise social networks. He cited the example of Oracle, which home brewed a social network which grew to 2,000 users within 10 hours of being released internally. The reason for it's success inside Oracle? According to Oracle IT management "This group trusts our network because it’s inside the firewall and it’s made up of colleagues".  The great thing about these internal networks is that they simplify the discovery and use of information in the enterprise across the hierarchical boundaries of the organization. 

Marc also commented on the emergence of "outcome driven brands" — micro-brands based on audiences.  He sees the need to brand services based on the audience, as opposed to the product. 

He finished by stating that the future of conferencing services will be in the brands and ancillary services around those brands, noting that he's not yet seeing the "bundles of services" that would imply.

Good speech.  Unfortunately I couldn't stay for much more of the day.

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Ooma debate

by alec on October 30, 2007

One of the more interesting unconference sessions today was the OOMA conversation.  Dennis Peng, product manager at OOMA, took part in a conversation with Tom Howe, moderated by Jon Arnold, about Ooma. 

Dennis positioned OOMA as allowing you "own your residential telephone service".  It costs $399 for the life of the product, and includes the basic three features of OOMA – instant second line, the broadband answering machine, and unlimited US calling.  One of the initial features that generated a lot of talk was the distributed termination feature, which naturally led to a discussion of privacy. 

A number of people commented on the ways that one might be able to tap into the distributed termination.  OOMA's strategy is to monitor for customer systems, and not route calls through systems that have been tapped.  After being pressed further, all Dennis would say was that the company takes privacy very very seriously.  

Carl Ford commented that distributed termination, and monitoring implies headcount and expense.  How, he asks, can you scale the business when the fees don't? Sounds like a ponzi scheme!

According to Dennis, Ooma sees distributed termination as a stop gap. Value added services is where they want to make money.  Naturally this elicited a skeptical response from Tom, who asked how this is different from the Sunrocket / Vonage model.

Dennis' answer was very interesting.  The OOMA rich ui and developer model is one of the first very functional devices out there.  Its architecture breaks the "bus network" of the home and lets them implement new services that you can't currently implement — they're thinking about personalization and other services that come on cell phone today, but not on home phone.  When Tom pressed, asking why OOMA's services would succeed when other value added services didn't, Dennis answered that the scope of services to date have been limited. Hard to argue with that.   

Jon Arnold chimed in at this point, and said that the experience of using OOMA was fantastic, which Tom also concurred with. 

Dennis finished by talking about their vision for the future.  He noted that this is the first time phones in the home have been networked.  As their services rolled out, they wanted to have more and more value added services, not just related to voice but to other media. Naturally, it begs the question — when do these folks intersect the home networks that Microsoft and/or Cisco are building.

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Pulver Keynote

October 30, 2007

I just exited the Pulver keynote, and heard both Tom Evslin and Jeff Pulver extolling the virtues of social communications. Evslin sees the arrival of social networks as the next phase of all communications.  As he sees it, social networks are the opt-in self administered directories we've all been talking about for a very long [...]

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Day 1 VON

October 30, 2007

It's day 1 of VON.  Like many, I'm looking forward to Jeff's comments this morning, and then I'll be heading over to the Innovators Track / Unconference for most of the day.  If you're looking for me, that's where me and my laptop will be parked. 

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Applications for Social Capital

October 30, 2007

(continued from The Accumulation of Social Capital) Clearly users benefit as social networking applications build more extensive and richer relationship networks. Aside from advertising, however, what businesses can be built from these networks? The network owners themselves are trying to compete in three businesses – applications, the social networking application itself, and more recently providing [...]

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Boston, McDonalds and iPhone

October 29, 2007

It was early evening last night when I slipped into the McDonald's across the street from my Boston hotel.  Inside it was pandemonium. The half dozen young women behind the counter serving customers were having a fierce argument.  As the words — an ebonics spiced stew of english and spanish — flew back and forth [...]

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iPhone in Canada for Christmas?

October 28, 2007

The Boy Genius is calling iPhone for Christmas in Canada from Rogers with a $499 price point on a three year contract.  Frankly, if true, it's offensive.  The same phone is $120 less from AT&T on a two year contract.  In today's climate, with the Canuck buck at par with the US dollar and members [...]

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Rough spots for Leopard and SIP

October 27, 2007

Apparently VoIP applications vendors have been a little slow to update their software for Apple's new Leopard OS.  VoIP master Andy Abramson reports that neither Counterpath, nor Gizmo Project, nor Sightspeed were ready in time for the launch.  However, all appear to be feverishly working to update. Those of us who've experienced Windows Vista and its [...]

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The Accumulation of Social Capital

October 27, 2007

19th century economists argued that surplus value, or capital, came from production. Raw materials and labor create value, not trade. Socialists, like Marx, argued that trade was simply the mechanism for goods to reach the market, and created no value in and of itself. Capitalists, by contrast, believed in the accumulation of that surplus through [...]

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Sun's tactical error on Java

October 26, 2007

You may recall the decision by Microsoft and Sun some years ago to discontinue the Microsoft Java license.  The result of that decision is that the Microsoft JVM is no longer part of any version of Windows or Internet Explorer, and customers wanting to use Java or Java applications must now download the Java install directly from [...]

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